While the fifth-year player probably isn't going to gift fantasy managers with double-digit steals, Guerrero can keep four categories and all ratios afloat, allowing you to build around that foundation. On the other hand, those 40 HR and .347 ISO probably won some leagues last year for patient managers who could ride out the injuries. Even though there are suggestions that Montas could return in 2023 following his shoulder surgery, he has no value in redraft leagues and can be left on the table on draft day. Anderson and Xander Bogaerts are being drafted very closely together in NFBC drafts and appropriately so. Even with his torn UCL last season, he still slashed .286/.364/.514 and powered the Phillies to the World Series. He will turn 26 in May, and 2023 will show us what kind of long-term fantasy asset he may be. Steamer projections have him at 43/109/104 for the upcoming season, and his ratios should see a small decline as well. While you shouldn't overlook him, you can certainly hope your league mates do. Therein lies the problem, of course. 12/01/2023 WBSC launches first-ever Baseball5 World Rankings. Beyond that, Semien has played in 155 games or more in six of the past seven seasons (excluding 2020). Dansby Swanson will enter his age-29 season with a freshly signed 7-year, $177 million with the Chicago Cubs. Miranda is right on the edge of being a sleeper if he's able to build on last year, but he also runs the risk of some growing pains in his sophomore season. His Statcast page reads like a warning when comparing his expected numbers with his actual ones. The Tampa Bay Rays . He missed 52 games due to injury, and his BABIP was a career-low (by a lot) .227. The list of third basemen capable of that feat stands at one unless Bobby Witt has 3B eligibility in your league. The draft discount would have to be huge to take a flier on him, and chances are good that one of your much more hopeful league mates will take him before he reaches that point. Francisco Lindor had an abysmal 2021 after signing a huge contract with the Mets, but he returned to form in 2022, tallying 26 HR, 107 RBI, 98 runs, and 16 SB. If you miss the first half dozen third basemen, Chapman can provide some value at his current ADP. When he returned, it looked like all of the skills that made him so highly sought after had disappeared. While he does not have any outward signs of decline, some fantasy managers might be wary of investing a high-round pick in a guy who turns 39 in July. The 28-year-old shortstop did the tango with the Giants (12-year, $315 million) and waltzed with the Mets (12-year, $315 million) before they rejected him, and he decided to take his ex back, signing a 6-year, $200 million contract with the Twins. While his OBP sat at .317, his xwOBA was .372, meaning that he should see a positive correction to this in 2023. Lynn is a prime candidate to climb draft boards if he shows out during Spring Training given his history as a workhorse. He played in all 162 games in 2022, swatting 25 HR with 96 RBI, 99 runs, and 18 stolen bases. His value is great in the sixth or seventh round, and even though we don't chase wins, he plays for a team who should put him in line for many of them. His strikeout rate remains quite high, and he won't bat for much average, but the addition of Trea Turner should boost his counting stats high enough for fantasy managers not to care much. Even though the Giants finished last in defensive runs saved, his high ground ball rate didn't hurt him. A full season from Cruz has sky-high potential, but he still plays in Pittsburgh with little in the way of talent around him, especially if Bryan Reynolds leaves by trade. It is difficult to predict what effect the new running rules will have on his SB total, but fantasy managers can safely count on 10-15 in this area. The difference lay entirely in his BABIP, which did its expected jump from an impossible .274 to an outrageous .363. Home Run record with 62, scoring 133 runs, driving in 131, and stealing 16 bases to boot. The 34-year-old closer for the World Series Champions is in the 97th percentile in fastball spin and the 100th percentile in curveball spin. The 23-year-old is projected to have a K-rate north of 30%, and he will certainly boost a fantasy team's strikeout count. 1? Collegiate Baseball's 2023 College Baseball Preview Edition (Jan. 6, 2023) has just been published and features all the top teams and players on all levels of college baseball plus a look at the top 963 college baseball players for the 2023 MLB Draft, All-American teams and much more. His K% (25.9) and BB% (7.1) need improvement, but at age 22, he has plenty of time to work on these numbers. A healthy Gallen is a steal at his ADP of 74. Ramirez did have UCL repair in November, but there is no doubt he will be ready to go for Spring Training. The 25-year-old pitched 166 1/3 innings, struck out 194 batters, and blessed fantasy managers with a 2.54 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. The 33-year-old still has a K% in the 92nd percentile in the league, though this did drop from 37.7% to 31.7% last year. Mike Trout may have had the quietest 40-homer season in 2022. He isn't going to do anything flashy (8.27 K/9), but he shouldn't do much to harm your numbers. The 25-year-old ranks in the 100th percentile in average EV, HardHit%, xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, and Barrel% while coming in the 99th percentile in MaxEV. Nestor Cortes was a gift to fantasy managers who drafted him late in 2022. The good news is that his expected numbers were all higher than the actuals, and he still hit 34 homers with 86 runs and 103 RBI. He may suffer some of the typical rookie issues, but all signs point to a quick adjustment and solid fantasy production. In those 64 innings, he struck out 102 batters using his elite arsenal of pitches. However, he can be a mid-round source of stolen bases either way. His on-base skills and power to all fields will be a boon to fantasy teams, even while he gets the kinks out that every 21-year-old player experiences. And what better way to do just that than to check out the Yahoo Fantasy crew's top 300 players for the 2023 MLB season? Because it's the Rays, it's hard to predict how many innings or how deep into ball games they will let him go, but as long as he is healthy, he could anchor a fantasy staff coming out of the fourth or fifth round. Reynolds hit 27 HR and slashed .262/.345/.461 and yet scored 74 runs and knocked in only 62. With a K% in the 96th percentile, the 25-year-old will be one of the Top 3 RP without a clear path to saves taken off the board. He made his MLB debut last season, recording 15 hits and scoring eight runs in 49 at-bats.. The stolen bases are most likely gone forever, but he could pair nicely with a speed guy from Round 1. He had identical WHIPs of 1.08 and has started more than 30 games in four of the past five seasons (excluding 2020). That second-half stat line was much closer to his career average, and he still bats in a high-octane lineup that should drive his counting stats back to the 25/15 range without harming your ratios. He hit .270, though his xBA was only .254. Fans can register their details here to keep up to date with the latest information from MLB Europe.. His BABIP was a little high (.290), which led to his .293 batting average, so fantasy managers should consider that regression and expect more in the .270 range. College Recruiting Rankings. His K% was much higher (18.7) than at lower levels, but this should normalize as he becomes more comfortable. His xERA was 3.51, but his xFIP was 2.98, which is encouraging for 2023. His xERA was an entire run lower than his actual, and batters hit .191 against him. 2023 Dynasty League Baseball Rankings: Outfielders, #1-20 Outfielders, #21-60 Outfielders, #61-125 Outfield Prospects #1-25 Outfield Prospects #26-50 Outfield Risers and Fallers Outfielders to Target Outfielders to Avoid Outfield Prospect Spotlight: Tyler Gentry Outfield Prospect Spotlight: Chase DeLauter Shortstops #1-10 Shortstops, #11-30 He hit 31 HR in 451 plate appearances with 78 RBI. However, fantasy managers still need to prepare for a lot of strikeouts and a low batting average, as neither will ever be a boost. His Statcast page could be the official symbol of Valentine's Day, with the only non-red stat being his fastball spin rate. Dylan Cease finished second to Justin Verlander for 2022 AL Cy Young and had an outstanding year for a wildly disappointing White Sox team. Fantasy managers shouldn't worry any more than they typically do about his injury risk. Other Top 25 teams include No. Two IL stints in 2022 are the only thing suppressing McClanahan's draft value in 2023. $26 Teoscar Hernandez. He should also get to move back to the infield and play 1B now that Jose Abreu is in Houston. Unranked. The annual Fantasy Extra issue of USA TODAY. His K/9 rate dipped to 8.24, but his BB/9 improved from 3.22 to 2.33. Someone will spend a high-round draft pick on him, so you only have to ask yourself if it will be you. Tatis missed the entire 2022 season with injuries and a PED suspension in August. In three seasons, he only has 924 plate appearances, and fantasy managers have been left to wonder what it would look like if he got 600 appearances in one season. Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio Rodriguez delivered an epic 2022 season, so expect him to be in the running for the top pick in drafts, too. Wright was an entirely different pitcher in 2022 than he was the year before, cutting his BB% from 14.3 to 7.2 and raising his K% from 17.1 to 23.6. Josh Hader may come at a discount in 2023 due to those who fixate on a stretch of outings in August 2022 or look only at his final ERA. What is not of concern are the 81 games he gets to play at Yankee Stadium this year and each one after until 2031, thanks to his 9-year, $360 million free-agent contract. Zack Wheeler returned from his 2021 Cy Young runner-up campaign and defended his position as a top starting pitcher in fantasy baseball. While his slugging percentage was down significantly, a lot of that can be attributed to working back from the injury. These numbers and his BA/OBP should go up, assuming his BABIP recorrects somewhat closer to his .314 number. Lindor is the definition of a "safe" pick in a good lineup with some upside, but he won't be returning to 2017-2019 numbers anytime soon. Including the postseason run, Verlander threw 195 innings last season, and even though he has been a workhorse for his entire career, it is fair to question how many more years he can continue to flirt with 200 innings. His BABIP and LOB% are both due for regression, and his xFIP was 3.53, so it's important to temper expectations in those departments. Nobody signed with more teams in the offseason than Carlos Correa. He is near the bottom of the league in K%, Whiff%, BB%, and chase rate. Tatis's raw skills are phenomenal; he hits the ball as hard as anyone in the game, runs extremely well, and gets on base. Coming in at No. The 30-year-old has always had good on-base skills and 20-HR power, and his RBI total should hover in the 60-70 range. 1 with a farm system led by Julio Rodriguez and George Kirby. Nathaniel Lowe became something of an on-base machine in 2022. His glove will keep him in a strong Blue Jays lineup, and his OBP may rise as his wOBA was 38 points higher without the shift. That's why you'll find that the rankings are in a different order than the replacement. 2023 FYPD Rankings for Dynasty Baseball Chris Clegg's Top-125 FYPD Rankings Chris Clegg Jan 10 4 1 Hopefully, you checked out my FYPD Primer yesterday to show you how to navigate your draft and the traits and tendencies to look for in these players. He batted leadoff 64 times, indicating the Royals are dedicated to getting him plate appearances in front of Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez. March 2, 2023. Byron Buxton staying healthy is the carrot dangling in front of fantasy managers every offseason. Arizona is on the upswing, but the Diamondbacks are often forgotten about on draft day. He limits hard contact and uses a four-pitch combination to sit in the 91st percentile of chase rate. Joe Musgrove has been a picture of pitching consistency over the past two seasons, with his stats almost eerily similar. The Orioles seem dedicated to giving their prospects every opportunity to succeed, which boosts Mullins's value in the runs category. While his HR total dropped to 21, his runs (117), RBI (100), and SB (13) kept him in the fantasy MVP conversation. Liam Hendriks quietly had a very solid year for a disappointing White Sox team. Unfortunately, he also offers 3.4 BB/9 as he sometimes isn't sure where his 100-mph throws will end up. Yu Darvish is an often-overlooked starter in fantasy drafts, be it his age or his past inflated ERA that drive people away. The 22 home runs came out of nowhere, as he had only 18 in his three-year minor league career. The Phillies will score in bunches, and Schwarber may have multi-position eligibility, depending on your league, which is not a bad fantasy asset to have at all as long as you can absorb the batting average. As a reward for that performance, he signed a two-year contract with the Mets so he and Max Scherzer can arm wrestle for who gets to call themselves the staff's ace. The shortstop position feels deeper than in years past, but heading into his age-29 season, Seager remains at or near the top. He is a safe pick in the late rounds of drafts. We have no illusions that Pittsburgh's lineup is going to boost any of his numbers, but 20 steals from 3B later in the draft is nothing to sneeze at. His .363 BABIP is due to regress so draft him with the knowledge that his batting average may drop 15-20 points. 2 min read We're still a ways away from the first pitch of 2023 Opening Day, but. A finger injury derailed his season, but he finished the year strong. He is an OF5 being drafted in the OF4 range because of the cliff the position drops off of in drafts. Guys like Edwin Diaz, Emmanuel Clase, Josh Hader and Ryan Pressly are just some of the elite closers who still maintain a stranglehold on their teams' ninth-inning role. Nothing in his underlying metrics looks like a giant red flag. The 31-year-old turned his Statcast page crimson, landing in the 92nd percentile in xSLG and xwOBA, two important categories to show out in. 2023 Fantasy Baseball Rankings powered by FantasyPros Aaron Nola (PHI) Aaron Nola had a wildly unlucky 2021 that most fantasy managers were aware of on draft day in 2022. Recruit's Nat Rank. After a volatile offseason that saw him sign with the Dodgers, Freddie Freeman settled in and got to work being the hitting machine fantasy managers have come to know and love. He countered that by being in the 100th percentile in maxEV when he made contact. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. In 2022, he appeared in only 114 games, a far cry from the 161 the year before. The Yankees were the best team in Defensive Runs Saved, which furthered his effectiveness. He'll make it worth your patience. Honestly, he doesn't take many pitches, period, as he sits in the first percentile in chase rate. If Jon Gray had stayed healthy in 2022, he would be going much higher in drafts this year. 1 - 50. He only played in 119 games due to a rare and persistent back injury that will require more rest days going forward, even when healthy. The managers who took him were rewarded with more innings, strikeouts, and vastly improved ratios. Points Earned. Surprisingly, there's quite a lot of agreement between the ZiPS list and the FanGraphs list at the top of the pitching ranks. Luis Severino returned from Tommy John surgery, and the Yankees applied restraint to his workload early in the season. Julio Rodriguez led the 2022 youth movement throughout MLB, skipping Triple-A to win Rookie of the Year with 29 of 30 first-place votes and electrifying the crowd at the HR Derby in July. Yes, he clogs your Utility spot, and it can be frustrating to manage him in weekly leagues where he can only start as one or the other. With everyday playing time, 2023 could be a big year of growth for the 24-year-old. He may have just brought his Statcast page to contract negotiations before signing his five-year, $102 million deal to return to New York. Last year the Seattle Mariners ranked No. Cedric Mullins stole 30+ bases for the second consecutive year in 2022, though the power disintegrated, lowering his home total to 16 from 30. Eight of the top nine prospects in ZiPS are basically the top pitching prospects on Eric and Tess' list. Someone in your league will reach for him during the draft. Even with that, the 33-year-old hit 23 home runs with 76 RBI and 48 runs scored. He is a risky SP2 and would be a much safer pick as a third or fourth starter. Draft him and enjoy. The 28-year-old was in the 100th percentile in xBA, K%, Whiff%, xSLG, and xERA/xOBA, which is exactly what you are looking for from a fantasy closer while racking up 32 saves. His slash line was an other-worldly .311/.425/.686 with an xwOBA of .463 and wRC+ of 207. For 5x5 leagues, Urias finished third in the majors with 17 wins last year, and while it's not great to chase that category, he seems a safe bet to do well in it. It's possible they leave him in the 2-slot, especially until Bryce Harper returns, in which case he will continue to score runs and increase his RBI total. Blake Snell pitched exactly the same number of innings in 2022 as he did in 2021, but he slashed three percentage points off his walk rate to lower his ERA and WHIP to fantasy-relevant levels. The regression happened across the board everywhere but stolen bases, where he actually increased from 15 to 25 in 2022. Logan Gilbert flashed the goods in 2021 and returned for a great year in 2022. 2. The Oregon State Beavers' blistering start to the 2023 college baseball season has been recognized by national voters. He pitched 72 2/3 innings, striking out 77, and maintaining a microscopic 1.36 ERA and 0.73 WHIP. George Kirby arrived in the majors in 2022 and immediately showed off his meticulous control which led to a 6.05 K:BB ratio. There is nothing wrong with boring, as long as you don't reach for it. A lot of things went wrong for Giancarlo Stanton in 2022. He is exactly the type of guy you wait for once you've built up your other categories. Aside from turning 40 in February, fantasy managers need to be wary of the BABIP of .240, which is 30 points below his career average and due to regress. Assuming he starts 20+ games this year, he will provide fantasy managers a strikeout-per-inning performance by coupling a 96-mph fastball with his punchout 85-mph slider. 2023 fantasy baseball 2B, SS rankings: Target Jazz Chisholm, avoid Fernando Tatis? When the Yankees traded Jordan Montgomery to St. Louis for an injured Harrison Bader at the deadline, it seemed like somewhat of a baffling move, especially as he tore up the NL Central upon arrival. His strikeout rate crept above 30% for the first time since his rookie year. If you have the IL spots, his current ADP of around 130 makes sense. He turns 37 in August, but he could be a sneaky great pick on draft day. Instead, we have reality, and the reality is that deGrom started only 11 games and pitched 64 1/3 innings, both of which are lower numbers than in the truncated 2020 season. To see all the great stories in this issue, CLICK HERE. Washington Nationals. Carlos Rodon celebrated turning 30 by signing a six-year, $162 million contract with the Yankees, and it's not hard to see why New York was willing to pay him. The park switch to Wrigley Field could add one or two homers, but he may benefit from the new rules regarding swiping bags. Rule Changes Probable Pitchers Starting Lineups . The 29-year-old does not fit the profile of a truly elite closer, but he should collect another 30 saves, securing a good base in 5x5 leagues. His EV and HardHit% certainly showed no signs of slowing down, and he remains an on-base machine batting at the top of a fearsome lineup. The suspension will end on April 20, so fantasy managers don't have to take a long absence into account. In 185 innings pitched, he struck out 170 batters while walking only 32. He still struck out 198 batters in 200 innings, but his true value was in his 2.88 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Olson played in all 162 games last season, continuing his career of solid durability, so fantasy managers can draft him with the expectation that his numbers will normalize in his second year in Atlanta with a good lineup around him. Baltimore Orioles. MLB Power Rankings 2023: Are Astros, Yankees or Mets on top? Dustin May had a long road to his return from Tommy John surgery, and the rustiness was apparent when he took the mound for the first time on August 20. Other concerns include the fact that Judge will be 31 years old for the majority of the season and played in a career-high 157 games last year. The switch hitter did everything better when St. Louis put him in the leadoff slot, which led to an overall .265/.324/.400 slash line. Ninth-ranked Oklahoma State is the top Big 12 team in the rankings, followed by No. This is your annual reminder to ensure you know how Shohei Ohtani's pitcher/hitter eligibility is treated in your league(s), as it can make a world of difference in fantasy value. The 13.3% HR/FB ratio should correct, and if he maintains an improved K% and HardHit%, he will be an absolute steal at his current ADP. The Blue Jays traded Teoscar Hernandez to the Mariners this offseason, which should be a similar situation to the one he just left regarding young talent. If you ask a fantasy analyst who the Twins' closer will be this season, the most common answer will be, "Well, we know who it SHOULD be." His primary category contributions are runs (95) and stolen bases (32). If you think he'll cross the century mark in innings pitched, he's a steal at his current ADP. Chris Sale seemed like the most snake-bitten player in baseball last season. He started 31 games, pitched 172 innings, and struck out 205 batters last season, which makes that one of the quietest 200-strikeout seasons in memory. What Gimenez offers is speed and a little pop at a scarce position in 2023. Stanford 4. The 28-year-old is too talented to leave on the board, so fantasy managers can draft him and send a quick wish into the universe that he plays basically anywhere else in 2023. After signing an 8-year, $168 million contract with the Atlanta Braves, Matt Olson did his best to replace franchise icon Freddie Freeman in one of the weirder series of transactions in recent memory. In that case, he is a perfect complement to whatever three true outcome player you draft for power. The USAToday/ESPN Coaches Poll is voted on by a panel of 31 Division I baseball coaches. Use our first base rankings, tiers and analysis to win your fantasy baseball drafts. (Steamer projections included.) Jose Altuve's fantasy baseball demise has been prematurely predicted for a couple of years now. Before the All-Star Break, he had 16 saves, seven holds, an ERA of 1.34, and a 41:8 K:BB ratio. What we really love, though, are his ratios. 2023 . Webb utilized his slider and changeup more last season, which helped to protect his ERA and WHIP. His weakness - BB% - is the thing that keeps him in Tier 2 of closers for most fantasy analysts, but his talent and abilities cannot be ignored during drafts. There is a lot of value to be had here. Where Turner catapults to No. There is a lot to love about O'Neill in fantasy formats, but there is a lot to question as well. It's worth watching in Spring Training, and if he routinely bats behind Jose Ramirez, drop him in your rankings a bit as the counting stats will be affected. He has elite curveball and fastball spin rates, but he was a bit wild with the breaking pitches, which is pretty typical for pitchers coming back. Building on his outstanding 2021 season, he was one home run away from his third career 30/20 season (29/20). He limits hard contact, and his 4.09 K/BB ratio is in the upper echelon of the majors. Adley Rutschman saw three minor league levels before making his MLB debut on May 21 and subsequently played 113 games for Baltimore. All of that is to say that the 31-year-old cannot be counted on for exceptional, ace-like numbers. Barlow will still get his fair share of save opportunities, but this smells like a closer by committee to start the season. But Lodolo is a strikeout machine (131 in 103 innings) and has the stuff to improve on his rookie numbers with a full season. The 27-year-old struck out 156 times in 586 at-bats while drawing only 46 free passes; if you believe it, these were improved numbers from 2021. The 27-year-old slashed .302/.358/.492 with 27 HR, 76 RBI, and 74 runs scored in 157 games. Devin Williams played second fiddle to Josh Hader for most of four seasons before finally getting handed the ball after Milwaukee traded the latter to San Diego. $27 Kyle Schwarber. Framber Valdez became Mr. Quality Start in 2022, tossing 201 1/3 innings in 31 starts for the World Champions. He started 28 games, throwing 158 1/3 innings, striking out 163 batters, and maintaining a 2.44/0.92 ERA/WHIP. The only statistical knock on the 30-year-old has been two straight years of decreasing wOBA, but that's splitting hairs with it sitting in the .360 range even after the "decline." If spin rate is your jam, you'll love what Ryan Pressly has to offer. *Rankings for 2023 Grad and younger are available to Crosschecker Rankings & Scouting Reports and Scout subscribers. He crushed a career-high 33 home runs while scoring 91 runs and driving in 83. The biggest plus Andrew Vaughn has going this season is that Tony La Russa won't be there to block his playing time. His xwOBA and xSLG are both near the 90th percentile, and he hit particularly well at Camden Yards in spite of the extended left field fence. He hit 11 homers, stole 18 bases, and slashed .283/.312/.403 in 153 games. While this is due to correct, it shouldn't scare you off from making him a top reliever on your squad.
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